Chester vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHE
63%
22%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BCF
1 - 1
CHE
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 3
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 2
WYC
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 1
CHE
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
DAR
0 - 2
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
DAR
0 - 1
BRO
51%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
KID
1 - 0
DAR
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
YEO
1 - 1
DAR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
DAR
1 - 0
GRI
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |