FA Trophy . 1/256
Global 2-3
Chesham United vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CHE
2 - 0
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 1
CHE
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CHE
2 - 1
WEY
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STO
1 - 1
CHE
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CHE
5 - 0
TIV
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
TIV
1 - 3
SAL
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 0
OXF
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
4 - 1
BED
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
HED
3 - 0
SAL
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SAL
4 - 1
CIR
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |