Chesham United vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
WIM
1 - 2
CHE
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
GOS
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 2
CHE
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
SWI
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 0
MER
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
WAL
0 - 3
HAR
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TIV
2 - 0
HAR
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 0
DOR
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 4
HAR
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 2
HAR
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |