Chesham United vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BAS
5 - 3
CHE
14%
19%
67%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
CHE
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 0
WIM
71%
17%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
HAR
59%
20%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
GOS
2 - 1
CHE
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
FAR
4 - 0
HEN
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FAR
0 - 0
SAL
18%
18%
65%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
GOS
3 - 1
FAR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
YAT
0 - 1
FAR
43%
22%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FAR
0 - 1
GOS
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |