Chesham United vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
TIV
1 - 0
CHE
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 2
TIV
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BED
0 - 4
CHE
21%
25%
55%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
5 - 0
HOR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
RED
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
CIR
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CIR
2 - 1
LEA
26%
25%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CIR
3 - 1
LEA
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
CIR
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CIR
2 - 4
BED
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |