Chesham United vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
BEA
1 - 2
CHE
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 2
AND
75%
15%
9%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 2
ABI
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
TAU
1 - 0
CHE
57%
21%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
EVE
3 - 1
CHE
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
MIL
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 2
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2006 |
PAU
0 - 1
BAS
43%
24%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
5 - 3
WEF
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
HOR
7 - 1
BAS
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |