Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAS
1 - 1
CHE
20%
26%
55%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
CHE
5 - 0
ANG
72%
19%
10%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
FKT
1 - 1
CHE
21%
26%
54%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
CHE
27%
26%
48%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
SOC
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NAL
2 - 1
BIO
78%
16%
7%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
NAL
22%
29%
49%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
NAL
3 - 1
AFI
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
FKT
1 - 2
NAL
14%
26%
60%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NAL
0 - 0
AST
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | +1 |