Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Luch Vladivostok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
URA
27%
29%
45%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
GAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
ZHE
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
CHE
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 3
YAR
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luch Vladivostok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
VLA
0 - 0
MOR
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
VLA
0 - 1
KAM
26%
28%
45%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
VLA
1 - 0
KRS
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2011 |
VLA
2 - 0
SKA
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
RAD
1 - 2
VLA
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |