Chernomorets Novorossisk vs FK Rostov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FOT
0 - 1
CHE
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 0
BIO
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 1
CHE
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CHE
4 - 1
FKK
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
FCR
4 - 2
FOT
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CSK
4 - 1
FCR
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FCR
3 - 2
TER
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
KRA
3 - 0
FCR
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SOC
1 - 0
FCR
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |