Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Afips analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
TOR
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 0
BIO
78%
16%
7%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SOC
2 - 3
CHE
19%
24%
56%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
DMA
1 - 1
CHE
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 1
FCK
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Afips
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
AFI
2 - 1
SOC
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AFI
1 - 0
DMA
75%
16%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
FCK
1 - 2
AFI
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
AFI
0 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
AFI
2 - 1
BIO
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |