2. Division B South round 16

Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Afips analysis

Chernomorets Novorossisk Afips
58 ELO 45
-8.3% Tilt -3%
3397º General ELO ranking 27145º
42º Country ELO ranking 249º
ELO win probability
65.3%
Chernomorets Novorossisk
20.7%
Draw
14%
Afips

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14%
Win probability
Afips
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Chernomorets Novorossisk
Afips
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chernomorets Novorossisk
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2014
CHE
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1 - 1
FC Armavir
TOR
71%
19%
10%
59 45 14 0
13 Oct. 2014
CHE
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1 - 0
Biolog Novokubansk
BIO
78%
16%
7%
59 32 27 0
01 Oct. 2014
SOC
FK Sochi
2 - 3
Chernomorets Novorossisk
CHE
19%
24%
56%
59 33 26 0
19 Sep. 2014
DMA
Druzhba Maykop
1 - 1
Chernomorets Novorossisk
CHE
13%
23%
64%
59 29 30 0
13 Sep. 2014
CHE
Chernomorets Novorossisk
3 - 1
FC Krasnodar II
FCK
73%
18%
9%
59 34 25 0

Matches

Afips
Afips
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2014
AFI
Afips
2 - 1
FK Sochi
SOC
72%
18%
11%
46 32 14 0
19 Oct. 2014
AFI
Afips
1 - 0
Druzhba Maykop
DMA
75%
16%
8%
46 30 16 0
13 Oct. 2014
FCK
FC Krasnodar II
1 - 2
Afips
AFI
29%
25%
46%
46 34 12 0
01 Oct. 2014
AFI
Afips
0 - 1
FC Armavir
TOR
58%
23%
20%
47 44 3 -1
19 Sep. 2014
AFI
Afips
2 - 1
Biolog Novokubansk
BIO
75%
17%
9%
47 32 15 0