Chernomoretz Burgas vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomoretz Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 0
CHB
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
CHB
1 - 0
56%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
BVR
0 - 0
CHB
21%
27%
52%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHB
2 - 0
LSO
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CVA
0 - 2
CHB
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LUD
4 - 0
LSO
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
LUD
3 - 0
MON
61%
22%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
LOV
2 - 1
LUD
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LUD
4 - 1
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
BVR
0 - 1
LUD
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |