Chernolomets 1919 vs Shumen 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernolomets 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HIM
1 - 0
CHE
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 2
DUN
22%
25%
52%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 3
CHE
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
VEL
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
BEL
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Shumen 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SHU
0 - 0
HIM
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 0
SHU
33%
26%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SHU
4 - 0
BEN
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
SHU
3 - 0
BOT
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 3
SHU
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |