Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CVA
2 - 1
GOT
85%
11%
3%
|
77 | 8 | 69 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CVA
2 - 0
SSO
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SVE
1 - 3
CVA
9%
23%
67%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
CVA
2 - 1
VID
78%
16%
5%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BER
2 - 0
CVA
31%
30%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
EVE
1 - 1
LUD
14%
20%
66%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
DZG
3 - 2
LUD
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
LUD
1 - 1
DZG
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
LUD
3 - 1
LPL
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LUD
1 - 0
CSK
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |