Liga Bulgaria - Play Offs Europa League . Semi-finals

Global 4-3

Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis

Cherno More Varna Lokomotiv Plovdiv
70 ELO 71
-11.9% Tilt -4.9%
578º General ELO ranking 895º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.6%
Cherno More Varna
25.9%
Draw
38.5%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.5%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cherno More Varna
+7%
-7%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

ELO progression

Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2018
SEP
Septemvri Sofia
1 - 2
Cherno More Varna
CVA
33%
25%
41%
69 62 7 0
05 May. 2018
CVA
Cherno More Varna
2 - 1
Septemvri Sofia
SEP
51%
25%
24%
68 62 6 +1
28 Apr. 2018
FKV
Vitosha Bistritsa
1 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
16%
25%
59%
70 51 19 -2
20 Apr. 2018
CVA
Cherno More Varna
2 - 0
Slavia Sofia
SSO
32%
28%
40%
70 75 5 0
17 Apr. 2018
OFK
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 - 2
Cherno More Varna
CVA
50%
26%
25%
69 69 0 +1

Matches

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2018
SSO
Slavia Sofia
0 - 3
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
52%
23%
25%
70 74 4 0
04 May. 2018
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3 - 1
Slavia Sofia
SSO
36%
25%
39%
69 75 6 +1
30 Apr. 2018
ETA
Etar
1 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
38%
26%
37%
69 62 7 0
23 Apr. 2018
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 - 2
Septemvri Sofia
SEP
64%
21%
15%
71 62 9 -2
19 Apr. 2018
DUN
Dunav Ruse
1 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
33%
27%
40%
72 64 8 -1
X