Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
CVA
2 - 0
VAR
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FKV
1 - 1
CVA
15%
25%
60%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CVA
2 - 0
LPL
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
CVA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CVA
1 - 0
ETA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
DYN
3 - 0
CSK
66%
20%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CSK
2 - 3
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
VKP
1 - 2
CSK
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 1
CSK
31%
27%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CSK
2 - 1
BOT
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |