Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
LUD
1 - 1
CVA
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CVA
1 - 0
DUN
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
LPL
1 - 0
CVA
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
CVA
1 - 1
LOK
61%
24%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
CVA
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
SON
1 - 0
CSK
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CSK
0 - 4
SUW
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
DYN
2 - 2
CSK
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
CSK
2 - 4
FCR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LOK
1 - 2
CSK
58%
25%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |