Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
CHB
0 - 2
CVA
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LSO
3 - 0
CVA
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CVA
4 - 2
LSO
40%
28%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
OFK
1 - 0
CVA
35%
29%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
CVA
1 - 1
SSO
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
SVI
0 - 1
CSK
12%
20%
68%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LSO
2 - 2
CSK
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CSK
2 - 0
SSO
49%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
CSK
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LOV
2 - 0
CSK
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |