Chepstow Town FC vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
83.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepstow Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CTF
1 - 0
RKP
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
UND
3 - 0
CTF
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CTF
0 - 5
STM
9%
13%
78%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CTF
3 - 2
TAF
9%
13%
78%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CAM
3 - 1
CTF
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | -7 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
CAE
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
PON
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
PON
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
LID
2 - 0
PON
16%
18%
65%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PON
1 - 0
AIR
39%
23%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |