Chepinets vs Velbazhd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepinets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
CHE
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
FKV
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 0
SEP
42%
24%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
STR
4 - 0
CHE
67%
20%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 0
FKM
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Velbazhd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
4 - 0
SEP
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
STR
3 - 1
VEL
76%
17%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 1
FKM
14%
21%
66%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
PIR
2 - 1
VEL
75%
16%
10%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
3 - 0
BAL
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |