Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
5º
18
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 71 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 65 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 54 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 50 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 42 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 32 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 31 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 26 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
6% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
CBC
0 - 1
SHA
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CBC
3 - 1
SJF
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CBC
26%
27%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CBC
3 - 0
HAN
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 3
CBC
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WFC
2 - 1
TIT
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 0
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 1
WFC
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 1
WFC
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
WFC
2 - 3
SHI
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |