Chemnitzer vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
RBL
2 - 1
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 0
WAC
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
PRE
3 - 1
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
HAL
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SVS
0 - 3
CHE
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ERF
2 - 3
SSV
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HEI
2 - 1
ERF
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ERF
2 - 0
UNT
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
OSN
1 - 1
ERF
55%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ERF
4 - 2
STU
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |