3. Liga Round 9

Chemnitzer vs Fortuna Köln analysis

Chemnitzer Fortuna Köln
62 ELO 63
1.3% Tilt 2.8%
2226º General ELO ranking 2430º
93º Country ELO ranking 108º
ELO win probability
44.2%
Chemnitzer
25.9%
Draw
29.9%
Fortuna Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
Chemnitzer
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.9%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chemnitzer
+5%
-4%
Fortuna Köln

ELO progression

Chemnitzer
Fortuna Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chemnitzer
Chemnitzer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2017
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
2 - 1
Chemnitzer
CHE
48%
26%
26%
63 66 3 0
09 Sep. 2017
CHE
Chemnitzer
0 - 0
Karlsruher SC
KSC
50%
26%
25%
63 62 1 0
26 Aug. 2017
UNT
Unterhaching
4 - 2
Chemnitzer
CHE
49%
25%
26%
64 62 2 -1
19 Aug. 2017
CHE
Chemnitzer
0 - 0
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
48%
26%
26%
64 64 0 0
12 Aug. 2017
CHE
Chemnitzer
0 - 5
Bayern München
BYM
5%
12%
83%
65 94 29 -1

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2017
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
1 - 1
Hallescher FC
HAL
49%
25%
27%
63 60 3 0
08 Sep. 2017
WER
Werder Bremen II
1 - 2
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
42%
27%
31%
62 63 1 +1
26 Aug. 2017
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
1 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
47%
27%
26%
62 67 5 0
18 Aug. 2017
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
4 - 0
Karlsruher SC
KSC
42%
27%
31%
61 64 3 +1
05 Aug. 2017
UNT
Unterhaching
2 - 2
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
54%
23%
23%
61 63 2 0