Chemnitzer vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
S04
2 - 0
CHE
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 2
PAD
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
PRE
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
ROT
5 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
HOL
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
BOR
0 - 1
ROT
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
HOL
3 - 1
BOR
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2003 |
BOR
2 - 0
HAM
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
WUP
1 - 1
BOR
38%
25%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
BOR
1 - 1
SGD
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |