Chelsea vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CHL
3 - 0
ASV
68%
20%
12%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHL
42%
25%
33%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 2
CHL
30%
24%
45%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CHL
3 - 0
CRY
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ZEN
3 - 1
TER
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ZEN
1 - 0
CSK
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
UFA
1 - 1
ZEN
14%
22%
65%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LOK
1 - 1
ZEN
37%
25%
39%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ZEN
3 - 2
KRA
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |