Chelsea vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 3
CHL
25%
24%
51%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
CHL
0 - 2
LIV
64%
21%
15%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 0
WOL
84%
12%
5%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
LEV
2 - 1
CHL
27%
25%
48%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
66%
20%
14%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 2
VCF
24%
25%
52%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
VCF
7 - 0
GNK
73%
16%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 3
RMA
21%
22%
57%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 2
VCF
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |