Chelsea vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
TOT
3 - 1
CHL
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CHL
0 - 0
EVE
55%
22%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
BAT
0 - 1
CHL
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CHL
3 - 1
CRY
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
CHL
3 - 2
DER
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PAO
2 - 0
XAN
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ERG
1 - 2
PAO
7%
15%
78%
|
85 | 36 | 49 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PAO
2 - 1
PGE
81%
14%
5%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
FHV
1 - 0
PAO
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ATR
1 - 1
PAO
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |