Chelsea vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHL
60%
20%
20%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CHL
0 - 0
WHU
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHL
1 - 0
STO
84%
12%
4%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CHL
3 - 1
MUD
44%
23%
33%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
HUL
0 - 2
CHL
8%
18%
74%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 3
SUN
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 0
NEW
37%
26%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WHU
1 - 3
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 2
MAC
16%
22%
63%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |