Chelsea vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BBU
0 - 1
CHL
16%
23%
62%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
GNK
1 - 1
CHL
16%
23%
61%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 5
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
EVE
1 - 2
CHL
29%
26%
46%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
QPR
1 - 0
CHL
8%
19%
73%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LIV
0 - 0
SWA
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WBA
0 - 2
LIV
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
STO
1 - 2
LIV
33%
28%
39%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
NOR
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
GLA
1 - 0
LIV
29%
27%
45%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |