Champions League . Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Chelsea vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 2
CHL
45%
24%
31%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 0
CHL
49%
24%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHL
1 - 2
SUN
82%
12%
5%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 1
CHL
15%
22%
63%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
CHL
2 - 0
PSG
57%
22%
21%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 0
CHL
49%
24%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 0
ELC
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GET
0 - 2
ATM
16%
25%
59%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
FCB
24%
23%
53%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |