Chelmsford City vs Bromsgrove Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 2
CHM
41%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TIL
0 - 2
CHM
9%
16%
76%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHM
3 - 0
BAT
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 5
CHM
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WHI
2 - 1
CHM
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bromsgrove Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 2
RED
29%
26%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 3
STI
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 0
BOT
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
BRO
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BIG
0 - 1
BRO
68%
18%
15%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |