Chaves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
VIZ
0 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
POR
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 1
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CHA
3 - 1
FCB
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
VAR
3 - 1
POR
53%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 0
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
VAR
3 - 0
FCB
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
GON
1 - 1
VAR
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VAR
2 - 1
LEX
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |