Chaves vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ADO
0 - 2
CHA
20%
24%
55%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAF
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
RIB
2 - 1
CHA
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
RIB
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TIR
3 - 0
FAM
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
TIR
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
TIR
2 - 2
VIZ
52%
26%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 0
NAC
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TIR
2 - 0
MIR
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |