Chaves vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1987 |
CHA
4 - 1
OLH
56%
21%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
OLH
1 - 1
CHA
58%
21%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
FAR
4 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
CHA
3 - 1
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
VAR
0 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
OEL
0 - 0
VIT
33%
29%
37%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
SLB
2 - 0
OEL
90%
7%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1987 |
BOA
1 - 0
OEL
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
OEL
1 - 2
FAR
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
MAR
5 - 1
OEL
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |