Chaves vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
LEX
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
COV
0 - 2
CHA
19%
26%
55%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
VIL
66%
22%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 4
FCP
9%
18%
72%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
COV
3 - 1
NAC
13%
21%
67%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 0
NAC
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
FAR
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |