Chaves vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
BOA
1 - 2
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 1
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
SPB
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 0
AVE
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SLB
0 - 2
BYM
15%
18%
67%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 1
RIO
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 4
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
PAO
1 - 4
SLB
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |