Chaves vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
67.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 1
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
VST
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 2
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
TON
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
SLB
1 - 1
BJK
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |