Chaves II vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
TAI
1 - 6
CHA
12%
16%
73%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
VIL
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
UEQ
1 - 1
CHA
8%
14%
78%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 0
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GFC
2 - 1
SMA
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 4
GFC
6%
16%
78%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GFC
1 - 0
TOR
88%
10%
2%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TRO
3 - 1
GFC
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GFC
2 - 0
UEQ
88%
10%
2%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |