Chatham Town vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chatham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GUE
2 - 2
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 3
CRA
10%
18%
72%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LEW
2 - 0
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
WAL
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
3 - 3
CHA
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
THE
66%
19%
16%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
ASH
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
FAV
6 - 3
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
WHY
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
EAS
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |