Châteauroux U19 vs Stade Lavallois U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
47.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
12º
11º
44
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauroux U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
CHA
36%
24%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVR
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
CON
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 1
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 4
LOR
29%
21%
50%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 1
BOR
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
LAV
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LAV
0 - 0
ANG
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
LAV
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LAV
2 - 1
STA
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |