Non League Div One Southern Midlands Round 38

Chasetown vs Stourport Swifts analysis

Chasetown Stourport Swifts
40 ELO 23
-8.5% Tilt -5.5%
7630º General ELO ranking 10423º
298º Country ELO ranking 538º
ELO win probability
72.6%
Chasetown
17.3%
Draw
10.1%
Stourport Swifts

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
Chasetown
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.1%
Win probability
Stourport Swifts
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chasetown
+33%
-9%
Stourport Swifts

ELO progression

Chasetown
Stourport Swifts
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chasetown
Chasetown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2007
SUT
Sutton Coldfield Town
2 - 0
Chasetown
CHA
44%
25%
31%
42 37 5 0
31 Mar. 2007
CHA
Chasetown
0 - 1
Aylesbury United
AYL
60%
22%
18%
43 36 7 -1
27 Mar. 2007
BER
Berkhamsted
1 - 0
Chasetown
CHA
26%
24%
50%
44 27 17 -1
24 Mar. 2007
CHA
Chasetown
4 - 1
Bromsgrove Rovers
BRO
41%
26%
33%
42 45 3 +2
20 Mar. 2007
CHA
Chasetown
0 - 0
Sutton Coldfield Town
SUT
54%
23%
23%
42 38 4 0

Matches

Stourport Swifts
Stourport Swifts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2007
STO
Stourport Swifts
2 - 3
Evesham United
EVE
21%
27%
53%
24 43 19 0
31 Mar. 2007
LEI
Leighton Town
0 - 0
Stourport Swifts
STO
65%
21%
13%
24 36 12 0
27 Mar. 2007
STO
Stourport Swifts
1 - 2
Brackley Town
BRA
13%
22%
65%
25 51 26 -1
24 Mar. 2007
BER
Berkhamsted
2 - 1
Stourport Swifts
STO
57%
22%
21%
25 27 2 0
17 Mar. 2007
STO
Stourport Swifts
0 - 5
Rothwell Town
ROT
24%
26%
49%
27 41 14 -2