Chasetown vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
MIC
2 - 3
CHA
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BUX
0 - 0
CHA
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
ASH
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 2
CHA
52%
22%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 3
CHA
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ASH
0 - 1
BRA
30%
23%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AFT
8 - 1
BRA
59%
20%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHE
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |