Chasetown vs Ashby Ivanhoe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
STO
2 - 0
CHA
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
WAL
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
CHA
34%
25%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
MOS
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ashby Ivanhoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BOS
3 - 1
ASI
68%
18%
15%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ASI
2 - 3
DEE
37%
22%
40%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 1
ASI
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ASI
0 - 2
SLE
37%
23%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ASI
2 - 3
MAN
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |