Chapecoense vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
30.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
ATL
25%
28%
47%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
AMF
3 - 0
CHA
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 3
GRE
18%
27%
56%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
JUV
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
FLA
9%
17%
74%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAH
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 3
AMF
28%
30%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |