Chapecoense vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
FFL
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
CHA
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
CRI
19%
22%
58%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FFL
3 - 2
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
JEC
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 0
MET
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |