Chapecoense vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
ECS
0 - 0
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 3
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
ULC
0 - 0
CHA
27%
26%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
HER
83%
14%
3%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUB
3 - 3
CHA
14%
22%
63%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
BOA
1 - 2
FFL
11%
18%
70%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FFL
3 - 1
HER
78%
16%
6%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
2 - 2
FFL
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 1
MET
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 0
AVA
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |