Chapecoense vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
14%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
PAR
63%
25%
12%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 2
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
NAU
65%
24%
12%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 2
CRB
56%
27%
17%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 2
CHA
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
CON
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 0
BOT
49%
29%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
GUA
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |