Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 3
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
DYJ
1 - 0
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
ATM
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
FLA
5 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 2
BOT
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
ATP
2 - 3
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
ATP
46%
27%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 0
ATP
64%
23%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ATP
4 - 1
VIT
51%
27%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAO
46%
28%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |