Chapecoense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
FLA
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
CHA
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
CHA
67%
22%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATP
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
ATM
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
ATM
4 - 3
LAN
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 1
BAH
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 1
ATM
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |