Chapadão vs CENE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
SAA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AQU
0 - 2
CHA
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
COM
1 - 3
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 2
MIS
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 2
MIS
74%
16%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
SAA
1 - 3
CEN
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 0
AQU
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
CEN
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
3 - 3
COM
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |