Must IPO vs Windsor Arch Ka I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Must IPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CPK
7 - 0
LAI
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CPK
3 - 1
CHF
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CPK
2 - 0
PSP
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CPK
0 - 4
BEN
49%
20%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
KLM
1 - 3
CPK
55%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
WAK
0 - 3
MCA
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
4 - 3
WAK
37%
21%
42%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
WAK
4 - 1
MAC
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
WAK
2 - 1
LAI
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
WAK
1 - 1
CHF
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |